Mexican security forces, often supported by U.S. intelligence and joint task forces, have conducted multiple operations in 2026 targeting regional operators and financial figures from the Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), Sinaloa Cartel factions including Los Chapitos, and groups such as La Línea. Recent arrests include CJNG-linked suspects in Michoacán and Jalisco tied to local violence, La Línea plaza bosses along the Chihuahua border, and Sinaloa financial operatives in Baja California. U.S. indictments, multimillion-dollar rewards, and foreign terrorist organization designations have sustained pressure on leadership structures, while Mexican authorities continue raids, laboratory dismantlements, and extradition proceedings. These bilateral efforts and the pace of high-value captures through year-end remain central to market assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$176,573 交易量
2026-12-31
伊万·阿奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉查
37%
赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·薩拉查
49%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
47%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
35%
胡安·卡洛斯·瓦倫西亞·岡薩雷斯
26%
胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亞·岡薩雷斯
61%
胡安·巴布羅·萊德斯馬
50%
$176,573 交易量
伊万·阿奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉查
$6,109 交易量
37%
赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·薩拉查
$5,988 交易量
49%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$60,997 交易量
47%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
$4,874 交易量
35%
胡安·卡洛斯·瓦倫西亞·岡薩雷斯
$58,662 交易量
26%
胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亞·岡薩雷斯
$33,338 交易量
61%
胡安·巴布羅·萊德斯馬
$658 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican security forces, often supported by U.S. intelligence and joint task forces, have conducted multiple operations in 2026 targeting regional operators and financial figures from the Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), Sinaloa Cartel factions including Los Chapitos, and groups such as La Línea. Recent arrests include CJNG-linked suspects in Michoacán and Jalisco tied to local violence, La Línea plaza bosses along the Chihuahua border, and Sinaloa financial operatives in Baja California. U.S. indictments, multimillion-dollar rewards, and foreign terrorist organization designations have sustained pressure on leadership structures, while Mexican authorities continue raids, laboratory dismantlements, and extradition proceedings. These bilateral efforts and the pace of high-value captures through year-end remain central to market assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
交易量
$176,573結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican security forces, often supported by U.S. intelligence and joint task forces, have conducted multiple operations in 2026 targeting regional operators and financial figures from the Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), Sinaloa Cartel factions including Los Chapitos, and groups such as La Línea. Recent arrests include CJNG-linked suspects in Michoacán and Jalisco tied to local violence, La Línea plaza bosses along the Chihuahua border, and Sinaloa financial operatives in Baja California. U.S. indictments, multimillion-dollar rewards, and foreign terrorist organization designations have sustained pressure on leadership structures, while Mexican authorities continue raids, laboratory dismantlements, and extradition proceedings. These bilateral efforts and the pace of high-value captures through year-end remain central to market assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$176,573結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETMexican security forces, often supported by U.S. intelligence and joint task forces, have conducted multiple operations in 2026 targeting regional operators and financial figures from the Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), Sinaloa Cartel factions including Los Chapitos, and groups such as La Línea. Recent arrests include CJNG-linked suspects in Michoacán and Jalisco tied to local violence, La Línea plaza bosses along the Chihuahua border, and Sinaloa financial operatives in Baja California. U.S. indictments, multimillion-dollar rewards, and foreign terrorist organization designations have sustained pressure on leadership structures, while Mexican authorities continue raids, laboratory dismantlements, and extradition proceedings. These bilateral efforts and the pace of high-value captures through year-end remain central to market assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions