Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against major cartels in 2026, with the February killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco triggering subsequent arrests of mid-level CJNG figures such as Audias Flores Silva and sparking localized unrest. Extraditions of Sinaloa-linked operatives, including Roberto Najera Gutierrez in January, have continued amid ongoing bilateral pressure, while U.S. rewards target remaining Chapitos faction leaders Iván Archivaldo and Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar. Mexico’s security forces under President Claudia Sheinbaum have conducted large-scale raids and accepted additional U.S. extradition requests, though full leadership decapitation remains constrained by cartel fragmentation, internal factional violence, and jurisdictional limits on cross-border actions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年將逮捕哪些卡特爾領導人？
2026年將逮捕哪些卡特爾領導人？
$143,093 交易量
2026-02-28
伊万·阿奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉查
72%
赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·薩拉查
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
50%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
34%
胡安·卡洛斯·瓦倫西亞·岡薩雷斯
24%
胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亞·岡薩雷斯
50%
胡安·巴布羅·萊德斯馬
50%
$143,093 交易量
伊万·阿奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉查
$5,906 交易量
72%
赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·薩拉查
$5,848 交易量
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$60,997 交易量
50%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
$4,874 交易量
34%
胡安·卡洛斯·瓦倫西亞·岡薩雷斯
$58,662 交易量
24%
胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亞·岡薩雷斯
$200 交易量
50%
胡安·巴布羅·萊德斯馬
$658 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against major cartels in 2026, with the February killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco triggering subsequent arrests of mid-level CJNG figures such as Audias Flores Silva and sparking localized unrest. Extraditions of Sinaloa-linked operatives, including Roberto Najera Gutierrez in January, have continued amid ongoing bilateral pressure, while U.S. rewards target remaining Chapitos faction leaders Iván Archivaldo and Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar. Mexico’s security forces under President Claudia Sheinbaum have conducted large-scale raids and accepted additional U.S. extradition requests, though full leadership decapitation remains constrained by cartel fragmentation, internal factional violence, and jurisdictional limits on cross-border actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
交易量
$143,093結束日期
2026-02-28市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against major cartels in 2026, with the February killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco triggering subsequent arrests of mid-level CJNG figures such as Audias Flores Silva and sparking localized unrest. Extraditions of Sinaloa-linked operatives, including Roberto Najera Gutierrez in January, have continued amid ongoing bilateral pressure, while U.S. rewards target remaining Chapitos faction leaders Iván Archivaldo and Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar. Mexico’s security forces under President Claudia Sheinbaum have conducted large-scale raids and accepted additional U.S. extradition requests, though full leadership decapitation remains constrained by cartel fragmentation, internal factional violence, and jurisdictional limits on cross-border actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$143,093結束日期
2026-02-28市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mexican authorities and U.S. agencies have intensified operations against major cartels in 2026, with the February killing of CJNG leader Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera Cervantes during a military raid in Jalisco triggering subsequent arrests of mid-level CJNG figures such as Audias Flores Silva and sparking localized unrest. Extraditions of Sinaloa-linked operatives, including Roberto Najera Gutierrez in January, have continued amid ongoing bilateral pressure, while U.S. rewards target remaining Chapitos faction leaders Iván Archivaldo and Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar. Mexico’s security forces under President Claudia Sheinbaum have conducted large-scale raids and accepted additional U.S. extradition requests, though full leadership decapitation remains constrained by cartel fragmentation, internal factional violence, and jurisdictional limits on cross-border actions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions