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icon for Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

icon for Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

$204,481 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$204,481 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$149,593 交易量

1%

2026年12月31日

$11,241 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum, inaugurated in October 2024 for a six-year term ending in 2030, maintains approval ratings above 68 percent as of March 2026 amid ongoing implementation of infrastructure, housing, and minimum-wage measures. Recent months have featured U.S. indictments of Morena party officials on drug-trafficking charges that triggered temporary resignations and internal party tensions, alongside legislative setbacks such as the March rejection of an electoral reform bill. Security cooperation with the United States and efforts to attract investment through Plan México remain central, yet no formal resignation, impeachment proceedings, or constitutional challenges have emerged. Traders therefore weigh the stability of her legislative majority and polling resilience against potential escalation in bilateral cartel pressures or future midterm dynamics that could alter her position before term end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$204,481
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 27, 2025, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum, inaugurated in October 2024 for a six-year term ending in 2030, maintains approval ratings above 68 percent as of March 2026 amid ongoing implementation of infrastructure, housing, and minimum-wage measures. Recent months have featured U.S. indictments of Morena party officials on drug-trafficking charges that triggered temporary resignations and internal party tensions, alongside legislative setbacks such as the March rejection of an electoral reform bill. Security cooperation with the United States and efforts to attract investment through Plan México remain central, yet no formal resignation, impeachment proceedings, or constitutional challenges have emerged. Traders therefore weigh the stability of her legislative majority and polling resilience against potential escalation in bilateral cartel pressures or future midterm dynamics that could alter her position before term end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$204,481
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 27, 2025, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 10%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" has generated $204.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" is "2026年12月31日" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.