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icon for Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

icon for Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?

$286,812 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$286,812 交易量

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$34,446 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum began her six-year term as Mexico’s president on October 1, 2024, with constitutional expiration set for September 30, 2030. As of September 2026, she delivered her second annual report highlighting record foreign direct investment, GDP growth, formal job creation, and a reported 51 percent decline in homicides since taking office, alongside an approval rating near 70 percent in recent polls. Bilateral talks with the United States on trade, tariffs, and border security continue under the existing framework, while internal Morena dynamics focus on 2027 legislative contests rather than challenges to presidential continuity. Cabinet adjustments have occurred through routine resignations, but no legislative, judicial, or party moves indicate imminent removal proceedings or early departure. Scheduled events such as ongoing U.S. trade negotiations and state-level elections through 2027 remain the primary near-term political variables that could influence perceptions of stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$286,812
結束日期
2026-07-01
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum began her six-year term as Mexico’s president on October 1, 2024, with constitutional expiration set for September 30, 2030. As of September 2026, she delivered her second annual report highlighting record foreign direct investment, GDP growth, formal job creation, and a reported 51 percent decline in homicides since taking office, alongside an approval rating near 70 percent in recent polls. Bilateral talks with the United States on trade, tariffs, and border security continue under the existing framework, while internal Morena dynamics focus on 2027 legislative contests rather than challenges to presidential continuity. Cabinet adjustments have occurred through routine resignations, but no legislative, judicial, or party moves indicate imminent removal proceedings or early departure. Scheduled events such as ongoing U.S. trade negotiations and state-level elections through 2027 remain the primary near-term political variables that could influence perceptions of stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$286,812
結束日期
2026-07-01
市場開放時間
Feb 24, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 4%, followed by "2026年1月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" has generated $286.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" is "2026年12月31日" at just 4%, with "2026年1月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Claudia Sheinbaum在擔任墨西哥總統之前... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.