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icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$38,589 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$38,589 交易量

Polymarket

South Sudan

$4,293 交易量

68%

Rwanda

$2,149 交易量

21%

Burundi

$202 交易量

52%

United States

$10,507 交易量

19%

Canada

$2,307 交易量

23%

Kenya

$235 交易量

24%

India

$737 交易量

46%

Republic of the Congo

$12,400 交易量

20%

Nigeria

$25 交易量

51%

Ethiopia

$107 交易量

52%

Somalia

$129 交易量

36%

China

$3,543 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country’s largest on record with over 7,000 confirmed cases and spread across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for 2026 markets. Recent confirmation of a case in the northwestern Sud-Ubangi province signals accelerating geographic momentum amid insecurity and population movement, while an imported case in France and Uganda’s contained cluster (declared over in August) highlight cross-border risks. WHO’s public health emergency designation and assessments of high regional threat to neighbors like Central African Republic and South Sudan underscore the primary catalysts. With vaccination campaigns limited by supply and the year’s final quarter approaching, traders monitor new detections, contact-tracing gaps, and any further international imports as key swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$38,589
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country’s largest on record with over 7,000 confirmed cases and spread across seven provinces, anchors trader sentiment for 2026 markets. Recent confirmation of a case in the northwestern Sud-Ubangi province signals accelerating geographic momentum amid insecurity and population movement, while an imported case in France and Uganda’s contained cluster (declared over in August) highlight cross-border risks. WHO’s public health emergency designation and assessments of high regional threat to neighbors like Central African Republic and South Sudan underscore the primary catalysts. With vaccination campaigns limited by supply and the year’s final quarter approaching, traders monitor new detections, contact-tracing gaps, and any further international imports as key swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$38,589
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Uganda" at 100%, followed by "South Sudan" at 68%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" has generated $38.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" is "Uganda" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "South Sudan" at 68%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.