Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shanghai’s July 27 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with overcast skies limiting daytime heating while high humidity and light winds maintain elevated heat indices. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 33–36 °C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any afternoon sea breeze can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center add another 1 °C locally relative to airport observations used for official records. With landfall or monsoon influences still days away, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical July analogs showing frequent 34–35 °C peaks during similar synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月27日上海最高溫度？
7月27日上海最高溫度？
35°C 35%
34°C 31%
36°C 17%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
13%
34°C
31%
35°C
35%
36°C
17%
37°C
5%
38°C或以上
2%
35°C 35%
34°C 31%
36°C 17%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
28°C or below
$23 交易量
1%
29°C
$15 交易量
2%
30°C
$37 交易量
2%
31°C
$33 交易量
3%
32°C
$42 交易量
9%
33°C
$28 交易量
13%
34°C
$120 交易量
31%
35°C
$189 交易量
35%
36°C
$119 交易量
17%
37°C
$23 交易量
5%
38°C或以上
$105 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shanghai’s July 27 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with overcast skies limiting daytime heating while high humidity and light winds maintain elevated heat indices. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 33–36 °C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any afternoon sea breeze can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center add another 1 °C locally relative to airport observations used for official records. With landfall or monsoon influences still days away, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical July analogs showing frequent 34–35 °C peaks during similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$652結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shanghai’s July 27 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with overcast skies limiting daytime heating while high humidity and light winds maintain elevated heat indices. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 33–36 °C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any afternoon sea breeze can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center add another 1 °C locally relative to airport observations used for official records. With landfall or monsoon influences still days away, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical July analogs showing frequent 34–35 °C peaks during similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$652結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models place Shanghai’s July 27 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with overcast skies limiting daytime heating while high humidity and light winds maintain elevated heat indices. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 33–36 °C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any afternoon sea breeze can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center add another 1 °C locally relative to airport observations used for official records. With landfall or monsoon influences still days away, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical July analogs showing frequent 34–35 °C peaks during similar synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions