Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月27日巴黎最低溫度？
7月27日巴黎最低溫度？
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
18°C 30%
21°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
13°C或以下
12%
14°C
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
35%
17°C
35%
18°C
30%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C或以上
6%
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
18°C 30%
21°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
13°C或以下
$174 交易量
12%
14°C
$119 交易量
1%
15°C
$124 交易量
12%
16°C
$174 交易量
35%
17°C
$174 交易量
35%
18°C
$174 交易量
30%
19°C
$37 交易量
1%
20°C
$37 交易量
1%
21°C
$37 交易量
13%
22°C
$37 交易量
6%
23°C或以上
$37 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,126結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,126結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions