Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日成都最高溫度？
7月25日成都最高溫度？
39°C 27%
40°C 25%
41°C 18%
38°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-25
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
10%
38°C
17%
39°C
27%
40°C
25%
41°C
18%
42°C
5%
43°C or higher
1%
39°C 27%
40°C 25%
41°C 18%
38°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-07-25
33°C or below
$453 交易量
1%
34°C
$370 交易量
2%
35°C
$315 交易量
2%
36°C
$592 交易量
5%
37°C
$510 交易量
10%
38°C
$448 交易量
17%
39°C
$243 交易量
27%
40°C
$758 交易量
25%
41°C
$2,133 交易量
18%
42°C
$1,313 交易量
5%
43°C or higher
$605 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,742結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,742結束日期
2026-07-25市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions