Trader sentiment for Manila's July 25 high temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (Habagat) and associated cloud cover, which limit daytime heating and favor maxima of 30–31°C. PAGASA forecasts indicate 30–31°C highs with widespread showers and thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal wet-period patterns where convective activity and high humidity cap peaks near the climatological average of 31°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for clearer skies that could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher, while heavy rainfall and easterly flow make lower outcomes around 29°C plausible if convection intensifies. The near-even split between the top two brackets reflects forecast uncertainty in monsoon strength and timing of any breaks in cloud cover over the next 48 hours.