Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日達拉斯的最高溫度?
104-105°F 40%
106-107°F 35%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 9%
$14,429 交易量
$14,429 交易量
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
40%
106-107°F
35%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 40%
106-107°F 35%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 9%
$14,429 交易量
$14,429 交易量
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
40%
106-107°F
35%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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