Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月21日紐約市的最高溫度？
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 15%
最新
$20,944 交易量
最新
$20,944 交易量
2026-07-21
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 15%
最新
$20,944 交易量
最新
$20,944 交易量
2026-07-21
華氏71度或以下
$393 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$547 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$2,562 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$3,433 交易量
15%
78-79°F
$7,272 交易量
27%
80-81°F
$921 交易量
32%
82-83°F
$1,088 交易量
17%
84-85°F
$1,133 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$2,468 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$803 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$769 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
交易量
$20,944結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,944結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance for July 21 points to a highest temperature near 80°F in New York City, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Forecasters cite modest instability and possible afternoon convection that could cap peak readings through increased cloud cover and brief showers, while clear intervals and light winds would allow readings to reach the low 80s. Historical July climatology shows average highs near 83°F, yet current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture favor a slightly cooler outcome than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions