Recent model guidance from sources like ECMWF and regional outlooks points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on July 20 under a typical mid-summer pattern of variable Atlantic flow, moderate onshore winds, and patchy cloud or light rain that limits peak insolation. This aligns with climatological averages near 22°C while explaining the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21°C, as small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could trim or add 1–2°C. Marine air influence from the North Sea further caps extremes, with low likelihood of the warmer 23–24°C outcomes absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
7月20日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 34%
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
34%
22°C
12%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 28%
19°C 22%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
16°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
11%
19°C
$20 交易量
22%
20°C
$22 交易量
28%
21°C
$0 交易量
34%
22°C
$0 交易量
12%
23°C
$10 交易量
8%
24°C
$5 交易量
3%
25°C
$15 交易量
1%
26°C或更高
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources like ECMWF and regional outlooks points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on July 20 under a typical mid-summer pattern of variable Atlantic flow, moderate onshore winds, and patchy cloud or light rain that limits peak insolation. This aligns with climatological averages near 22°C while explaining the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21°C, as small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could trim or add 1–2°C. Marine air influence from the North Sea further caps extremes, with low likelihood of the warmer 23–24°C outcomes absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$92結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from sources like ECMWF and regional outlooks points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on July 20 under a typical mid-summer pattern of variable Atlantic flow, moderate onshore winds, and patchy cloud or light rain that limits peak insolation. This aligns with climatological averages near 22°C while explaining the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21°C, as small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could trim or add 1–2°C. Marine air influence from the North Sea further caps extremes, with low likelihood of the warmer 23–24°C outcomes absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent model guidance from sources like ECMWF and regional outlooks points to a maximum of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on July 20 under a typical mid-summer pattern of variable Atlantic flow, moderate onshore winds, and patchy cloud or light rain that limits peak insolation. This aligns with climatological averages near 22°C while explaining the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21°C, as small shifts in cloud timing or frontal passage could trim or add 1–2°C. Marine air influence from the North Sea further caps extremes, with low likelihood of the warmer 23–24°C outcomes absent a strong ridge build-up. Updated short-range runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions