Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
7月20日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
11%
33°C或以上
3%
29°C 32%
28°C 26%
30°C 24%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
23°C或以下
$15 交易量
1%
24°C
$5 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
11%
28°C
$7 交易量
26%
29°C
$0 交易量
32%
30°C
$0 交易量
24%
31°C
$0 交易量
12%
32°C
$140 交易量
11%
33°C或以上
$101 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$268結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$268結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models show Istanbul under stable high pressure with light northerly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover through July 20, favoring daytime highs near the July climatological average of 28–30 °C. Subtle differences among 28–31 °C outcomes hinge on exact wind speed, sea-breeze timing from the Bosphorus and Marmara, and urban heat-island amplification in central districts versus coastal stations. Stronger meltemi gusts or brief marine-layer intrusions would cap maxima near 28 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings to 31 °C. Recent regional warmth in 2025–26 provides a slightly elevated baseline, yet model spread remains wide enough that traders assign comparable probabilities across the narrow 28–31 °C band ahead of updated runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions