Recent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models indicate a high near 18°C for Helsinki on July 20, driven by increased cloud cover and a passing trough limiting daytime heating amid southerly flow. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 18–20°C brackets, where implied probabilities cluster tightly around 19°C amid genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute model shifts. July climatology places average highs near 21°C, but persistent marine influence and reduced insolation this week favor the lower end. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and FMI runs, which could refine the peak if clearer skies develop or onshore winds strengthen.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基7月20日的最高溫度?
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 17%
21°C 12%
16°C或以下
7%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 27%
18°C 17%
21°C 12%
16°C或以下
7%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
34%
20°C
27%
21°C
12%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models indicate a high near 18°C for Helsinki on July 20, driven by increased cloud cover and a passing trough limiting daytime heating amid southerly flow. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 18–20°C brackets, where implied probabilities cluster tightly around 19°C amid genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute model shifts. July climatology places average highs near 21°C, but persistent marine influence and reduced insolation this week favor the lower end. Key upcoming catalysts include the next ECMWF and FMI runs, which could refine the peak if clearer skies develop or onshore winds strengthen.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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