Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日香港最低溫度？
7月20日香港最低溫度？
22°C或以下 41%
28°C 41%
32°C或以上 39%
26°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
22°C或以下
41%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
21%
26°C
35%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
16%
30°C
1%
31°C
21%
32°C或以上
39%
22°C或以下 41%
28°C 41%
32°C或以上 39%
26°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
22°C或以下
$37 交易量
41%
23°C
$32 交易量
1%
24°C
$27 交易量
17%
25°C
$0 交易量
21%
26°C
$5 交易量
35%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$13 交易量
35%
29°C
$0 交易量
16%
30°C
$27 交易量
1%
31°C
$37 交易量
21%
32°C或以上
$32 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$199結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$199結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical July overnight minima near 26–28°C for July 20, driven by seasonal monsoon conditions, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover or rainfall expected. These align with historical averages of 26–27°C lows and normal-to-above-normal temperature outlooks for July–September 2026. Closely matched probabilities around 26°C and 28°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where shifts in wind patterns, precipitation timing, or tropical disturbances could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution. Upcoming daily updates from official monitoring will likely refine trader positions as the date approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions