Recent forecast consensus from models including those of the China Meteorological Administration points to daily highs in Shenzhen clustering around 30–33°C on July 22 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, driven by high monsoon moisture and diurnal heating, remain the key variables that could cap or allow peaks near 31–32°C, explaining the tight spread among leading market outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, while short-range model updates over the next 48 hours on convective timing and sea-breeze effects will likely refine trader sentiment ahead of official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日深圳最高溫度?
33°C 35%
32°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 9%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
30%
33°C
35%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
1%
33°C 35%
32°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 9%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
30%
33°C
35%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from models including those of the China Meteorological Administration points to daily highs in Shenzhen clustering around 30–33°C on July 22 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, driven by high monsoon moisture and diurnal heating, remain the key variables that could cap or allow peaks near 31–32°C, explaining the tight spread among leading market outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, while short-range model updates over the next 48 hours on convective timing and sea-breeze effects will likely refine trader sentiment ahead of official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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