Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 22 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in East Asian monsoon conditions, with leading outcomes clustered at 23–25°C (roughly 60% combined implied probability). Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential afternoon thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping morning lows near or slightly below the 25°C July average per Korea Meteorological Administration climatology. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered rain that could suppress or slightly elevate the low depending on timing and urban heat island effects. New short-range forecasts and updated KMA guidance ahead of the 22nd will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 22–24°C range or hold warmer near 25–26°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日首爾最低溫度?
24°C 42%
23°C 36%
25°C 19%
22°C 3.6%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
36%
24°C
42%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 36%
25°C 19%
22°C 3.6%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
36%
24°C
42%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 22 minimum temperature reflects uncertainty in East Asian monsoon conditions, with leading outcomes clustered at 23–25°C (roughly 60% combined implied probability). Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential afternoon thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping morning lows near or slightly below the 25°C July average per Korea Meteorological Administration climatology. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered rain that could suppress or slightly elevate the low depending on timing and urban heat island effects. New short-range forecasts and updated KMA guidance ahead of the 22nd will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 22–24°C range or hold warmer near 25–26°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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