Official forecasts from PAGASA currently anchor trader sentiment around a 33°C high for Manila on July 22, with nearby 32–34°C outcomes tightly bunched due to typical southwest monsoon variability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a 60% rain chance favor scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can either cap peak readings or allow brief clear spells to push temperatures higher. Historical July averages near 31°C, combined with recent model runs showing minor shifts in steering patterns, sustain uncertainty in exact maximums. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze effects and convective activity evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
35°C 8%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
35°C 8%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from PAGASA currently anchor trader sentiment around a 33°C high for Manila on July 22, with nearby 32–34°C outcomes tightly bunched due to typical southwest monsoon variability. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and a 60% rain chance favor scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can either cap peak readings or allow brief clear spells to push temperatures higher. Historical July averages near 31°C, combined with recent model runs showing minor shifts in steering patterns, sustain uncertainty in exact maximums. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze effects and convective activity evolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions