Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日倫敦的最低溫度？
7月22日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 46%
16°C 35%
15°C 14%
18°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
14%
16°C
35%
17°C
46%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 35%
15°C 14%
18°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
12°C or below
$34 交易量
1%
13°C
$18 交易量
2%
14°C
$20 交易量
4%
15°C
$104 交易量
14%
16°C
$108 交易量
35%
17°C
$191 交易量
46%
18°C
$121 交易量
9%
19°C
$9 交易量
1%
20°C
$29 交易量
1%
21°C
$54 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$177 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$859結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$859結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial Met Office and ECMWF guidance for London on July 22 project a nighttime minimum near 16°C under sunny intervals and light winds, consistent with July climatology of 13–15°C lows. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns 45% to 12°C or below, reflecting notable ensemble spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under potential high-pressure setups that could clear skies and drop temperatures further if dew points fall or wind speeds remain below 5 km/h. Key differentiating variables include forecast cloud cover, which traps heat and raises minima by 2–4°C, versus drier air masses that enhance surface heat loss; recent model runs show modest variability in these parameters over the next 48 hours, keeping the 13–16°C range tightly bunched at 35–36% while capping warmer outcomes below 12%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions