Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
7月21日倫敦的最低溫度？
15°C 32%
14°C 32%
16°C 16%
13°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
10°C or below
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
15%
14°C
32%
15°C
32%
16°C
16%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 32%
14°C 32%
16°C 16%
13°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
10°C or below
$142 交易量
2%
11°C
$22 交易量
5%
12°C
$17 交易量
5%
13°C
$40 交易量
15%
14°C
$0 交易量
32%
15°C
$88 交易量
32%
16°C
$0 交易量
16%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$15 交易量
5%
19°C
$48 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$327 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$699結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$699結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions