Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to scattered thunderstorms and persistent monsoon moisture around July 21, tempering peak heating and keeping daily highs near the 31–33 °C range that dominates trader positioning. The South China Sea summer monsoon supplies humid southerly flow that fuels afternoon convection, increasing cloud cover and reducing surface insolation while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta sustain baseline warmth. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and rainfall intensity, with heavier showers favoring the lower end near 31 °C and clearer intervals supporting 33 °C. Historical July climatology shows mean highs of 32–33 °C, but day-to-day convective variability routinely produces 2–3 °C swings. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日廣州最高溫度?
32°C 32%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 29%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
29%
32°C
32%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to scattered thunderstorms and persistent monsoon moisture around July 21, tempering peak heating and keeping daily highs near the 31–33 °C range that dominates trader positioning. The South China Sea summer monsoon supplies humid southerly flow that fuels afternoon convection, increasing cloud cover and reducing surface insolation while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta sustain baseline warmth. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud timing and rainfall intensity, with heavier showers favoring the lower end near 31 °C and clearer intervals supporting 33 °C. Historical July climatology shows mean highs of 32–33 °C, but day-to-day convective variability routinely produces 2–3 °C swings. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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