Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日深圳最高溫度？
7月21日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 35%
30°C 21%
32°C 21%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
21%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 21%
32°C 21%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
25°C or below
$128 交易量
<1%
26°C
$236 交易量
<1%
27°C
$109 交易量
<1%
28°C
$216 交易量
3%
29°C
$364 交易量
15%
30°C
$633 交易量
21%
31°C
$225 交易量
35%
32°C
$550 交易量
21%
33°C
$289 交易量
9%
34°C
$111 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$293 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$3,150結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,150結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETForecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions