Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日釜山的最高溫度？
7月21日釜山的最高溫度？
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 22%
34°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
22%
32°C
40%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 22%
34°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
26°C或以下
$81 交易量
<1%
27°C
$77 交易量
<1%
28°C
$173 交易量
1%
29°C
$66 交易量
<1%
30°C
$92 交易量
3%
31°C
$303 交易量
22%
32°C
$5,466 交易量
40%
33°C
$655 交易量
30%
34°C
$366 交易量
5%
35°C
$86 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$110 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$7,475結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,475結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions