Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月19日上海最低溫度？
7月19日上海最低溫度？
23°C或以下 45%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
28°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
23°C或以下
45%
24°C
8%
25°C
15%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
15%
32°C
9%
33°C或以上
14%
23°C或以下 45%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
28°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
23°C或以下
$22 交易量
45%
24°C
$20 交易量
8%
25°C
$0 交易量
15%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$0 交易量
15%
30°C
$0 交易量
14%
31°C
$32 交易量
15%
32°C
$22 交易量
9%
33°C或以上
$32 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$117結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$117結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions