Official monitoring confirms only 13 confirmed or suspected Andes virus cases, including three deaths, from a contained May 2026 cruise-ship cluster that ended by early July with no secondary spread or U.S. imports. Global health agencies assessed the event as low risk outside the vessel because Andes hantavirus requires prolonged close contact for person-to-person transmission, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and shows no evidence of enhanced transmissibility or sustained community chains. Historical U.S. surveillance records fewer than 900 hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993, all sporadic rodent-linked events without pandemic-scale growth. With the outbreak resolved and no active surveillance signals through mid-August 2026, trader consensus reflects the virus’s established epidemiological limits and the absence of conditions needed for widespread emergence before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年漢坦病毒大流行？
2026年漢坦病毒大流行？
是
4% 機率
$17,852,751 交易量
$17,852,751 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 機率
$17,852,751 交易量
$17,852,751 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official monitoring confirms only 13 confirmed or suspected Andes virus cases, including three deaths, from a contained May 2026 cruise-ship cluster that ended by early July with no secondary spread or U.S. imports. Global health agencies assessed the event as low risk outside the vessel because Andes hantavirus requires prolonged close contact for person-to-person transmission, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and shows no evidence of enhanced transmissibility or sustained community chains. Historical U.S. surveillance records fewer than 900 hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993, all sporadic rodent-linked events without pandemic-scale growth. With the outbreak resolved and no active surveillance signals through mid-August 2026, trader consensus reflects the virus’s established epidemiological limits and the absence of conditions needed for widespread emergence before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$17,852,751結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official monitoring confirms only 13 confirmed or suspected Andes virus cases, including three deaths, from a contained May 2026 cruise-ship cluster that ended by early July with no secondary spread or U.S. imports. Global health agencies assessed the event as low risk outside the vessel because Andes hantavirus requires prolonged close contact for person-to-person transmission, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and shows no evidence of enhanced transmissibility or sustained community chains. Historical U.S. surveillance records fewer than 900 hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993, all sporadic rodent-linked events without pandemic-scale growth. With the outbreak resolved and no active surveillance signals through mid-August 2026, trader consensus reflects the virus’s established epidemiological limits and the absence of conditions needed for widespread emergence before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17,852,751結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Official monitoring confirms only 13 confirmed or suspected Andes virus cases, including three deaths, from a contained May 2026 cruise-ship cluster that ended by early July with no secondary spread or U.S. imports. Global health agencies assessed the event as low risk outside the vessel because Andes hantavirus requires prolonged close contact for person-to-person transmission, unlike efficient respiratory pathogens, and shows no evidence of enhanced transmissibility or sustained community chains. Historical U.S. surveillance records fewer than 900 hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993, all sporadic rodent-linked events without pandemic-scale growth. With the outbreak resolved and no active surveillance signals through mid-August 2026, trader consensus reflects the virus’s established epidemiological limits and the absence of conditions needed for widespread emergence before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions