Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the limited scale and rapid containment of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius, which produced just 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before WHO declared it over on July 2. Official CDC and WHO surveillance through August shows no sustained human-to-human chains beyond close contacts, consistent with Andes virus biology that requires prolonged exposure and has never produced widespread outbreaks. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas and elsewhere continue to cause only sporadic cases without pandemic potential. While a novel spillover or transmissibility shift remains theoretically possible, current epidemiological data and monitoring thresholds make escalation before year-end highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年漢坦病毒大流行？
2026年漢坦病毒大流行？
是
4% 機率
$17,843,157 交易量
$17,843,157 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 機率
$17,843,157 交易量
$17,843,157 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the limited scale and rapid containment of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius, which produced just 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before WHO declared it over on July 2. Official CDC and WHO surveillance through August shows no sustained human-to-human chains beyond close contacts, consistent with Andes virus biology that requires prolonged exposure and has never produced widespread outbreaks. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas and elsewhere continue to cause only sporadic cases without pandemic potential. While a novel spillover or transmissibility shift remains theoretically possible, current epidemiological data and monitoring thresholds make escalation before year-end highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$17,843,157結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the limited scale and rapid containment of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius, which produced just 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before WHO declared it over on July 2. Official CDC and WHO surveillance through August shows no sustained human-to-human chains beyond close contacts, consistent with Andes virus biology that requires prolonged exposure and has never produced widespread outbreaks. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas and elsewhere continue to cause only sporadic cases without pandemic potential. While a novel spillover or transmissibility shift remains theoretically possible, current epidemiological data and monitoring thresholds make escalation before year-end highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17,843,157結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 reflects the limited scale and rapid containment of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius, which produced just 13 confirmed or probable cases and three deaths before WHO declared it over on July 2. Official CDC and WHO surveillance through August shows no sustained human-to-human chains beyond close contacts, consistent with Andes virus biology that requires prolonged exposure and has never produced widespread outbreaks. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas and elsewhere continue to cause only sporadic cases without pandemic potential. While a novel spillover or transmissibility shift remains theoretically possible, current epidemiological data and monitoring thresholds make escalation before year-end highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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