Recent USDA confirmations of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations mark the first U.S. livestock detections since 1966, beginning with a calf in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by additional cases in La Salle County cattle, a New Mexico dog, and a Texas goat. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife amid northward spread from Mexico. Federal and state agencies, including USDA-APHIS and Texas officials, have activated surveillance, sterile insect releases, and border measures, while HHS previously authorized emergency drug use. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether expanding cases will prompt a formal national emergency declaration, with resolution hinging on case thresholds and official agency actions in coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2027-01-01
6月30日
36%
August 30
51%
10月31日
52%
December 31
52%
$3 交易量
6月30日
$3 交易量
36%
August 30
$0 交易量
51%
10月31日
$0 交易量
52%
December 31
$0 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent USDA confirmations of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations mark the first U.S. livestock detections since 1966, beginning with a calf in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by additional cases in La Salle County cattle, a New Mexico dog, and a Texas goat. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife amid northward spread from Mexico. Federal and state agencies, including USDA-APHIS and Texas officials, have activated surveillance, sterile insect releases, and border measures, while HHS previously authorized emergency drug use. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether expanding cases will prompt a formal national emergency declaration, with resolution hinging on case thresholds and official agency actions in coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
交易量
$3結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent USDA confirmations of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations mark the first U.S. livestock detections since 1966, beginning with a calf in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by additional cases in La Salle County cattle, a New Mexico dog, and a Texas goat. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife amid northward spread from Mexico. Federal and state agencies, including USDA-APHIS and Texas officials, have activated surveillance, sterile insect releases, and border measures, while HHS previously authorized emergency drug use. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether expanding cases will prompt a formal national emergency declaration, with resolution hinging on case thresholds and official agency actions in coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent USDA confirmations of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) infestations mark the first U.S. livestock detections since 1966, beginning with a calf in Zavala County, Texas, on June 3, 2026, followed by additional cases in La Salle County cattle, a New Mexico dog, and a Texas goat. The parasite’s larvae burrow into living tissue, posing severe risks to livestock and wildlife amid northward spread from Mexico. Federal and state agencies, including USDA-APHIS and Texas officials, have activated surveillance, sterile insect releases, and border measures, while HHS previously authorized emergency drug use. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether expanding cases will prompt a formal national emergency declaration, with resolution hinging on case thresholds and official agency actions in coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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