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icon for 在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

icon for 在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

最新
Polymarket

$675 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 6月30日

6月30日

$354 交易量

38%

icon for 8月30日

8月30日

$321 交易量

52%

icon for 10月31日

10月31日

$0 交易量

40%

icon for 12月31日

12月31日

$0 交易量

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent USDA-APHIS detections show eight confirmed New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) cases in Texas livestock since the June 3 index case in Zavala County, plus one in a New Mexico dog, with spread to La Salle and Gillespie counties reflecting northward movement from Mexico. The parasite’s larvae infest wounds in warm-blooded animals, and current conditions favor continued dispersal via adult fly flight and livestock movement despite sterile male releases and quarantine zones. Trader sentiment hinges on whether expanded surveillance and the sterile insect technique can contain cases to Texas before additional livestock detections occur elsewhere. Official dashboards and weekly APHIS updates will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$675
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent USDA-APHIS detections show eight confirmed New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) cases in Texas livestock since the June 3 index case in Zavala County, plus one in a New Mexico dog, with spread to La Salle and Gillespie counties reflecting northward movement from Mexico. The parasite’s larvae infest wounds in warm-blooded animals, and current conditions favor continued dispersal via adult fly flight and livestock movement despite sterile male releases and quarantine zones. Trader sentiment hinges on whether expanded surveillance and the sterile insect technique can contain cases to Texas before additional livestock detections occur elsewhere. Official dashboards and weekly APHIS updates will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$675
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "8月30日" at 52%, followed by "12月31日" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" is "8月30日" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12月31日" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.