Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日上海最高溫度？
7月17日上海最高溫度？
37°C 35%
38°C 33%
39°C 15.1%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
14%
37°C
35%
38°C
33%
39°C
15%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C或以上
1%
37°C 35%
38°C 33%
39°C 15.1%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
32°C或以下
$197 交易量
<1%
33°C
$216 交易量
1%
34°C
$242 交易量
2%
35°C
$231 交易量
3%
36°C
$258 交易量
14%
37°C
$1,410 交易量
35%
38°C
$539 交易量
33%
39°C
$364 交易量
15%
40°C
$243 交易量
5%
41°C
$356 交易量
1%
42°C或以上
$397 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,454結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,454結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Shanghai on July 17 likely reaching 37–38°C under a strong subtropical high, driving the near-even market split between those bins. Typical mid-July patterns feature southerly monsoon flow, high humidity above 70 percent, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while scattered thunderstorms may cap daytime maxima depending on timing and coverage. Historical July averages hover near 32–34°C, with occasional spikes above 37°C during clear, subsident periods. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour guidance heavily, as the next model cycles and official China Meteorological Administration updates could shift resolution probabilities ahead of the July 17 observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions