Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月15日首爾最高溫度？
7月15日首爾最高溫度？
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
21°C or below
$873 交易量
<1%
22°C
$351 交易量
<1%
23°C
$520 交易量
<1%
24°C
$436 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,834 交易量
1%
26°C
$891 交易量
2%
27°C
$294 交易量
16%
28°C
$393 交易量
39%
29°C
$1,111 交易量
31%
30°C
$1,729 交易量
11%
31°C or higher
$1,260 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,678結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,678結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions