Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
7月14日倫敦的最高溫度？
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
最新
$57,256 交易量
最新
$57,256 交易量
2026-07-14
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
46%
30°C
30%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
最新
$57,256 交易量
最新
$57,256 交易量
2026-07-14
24°C or below
$2,813 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,942 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,199 交易量
1%
27°C
$12,736 交易量
5%
28°C
$7,825 交易量
19%
29°C
$6,176 交易量
46%
30°C
$4,787 交易量
30%
31°C
$4,406 交易量
3%
32°C
$4,592 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,278 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,535 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$57,256結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,256結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions