The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月13日休斯敦的最高溫度？
7月13日休斯敦的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 交易量
$45,472 交易量
2026-07-13
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94度或以上
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 交易量
$45,472 交易量
2026-07-13
75°F或以下
$4,989 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,588 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$2,693 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$3,908 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$4,938 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$6,818 交易量
100%
86-87°F
$5,490 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$3,850 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$4,816 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$4,125 交易量
<1%
華氏94度或以上
$2,261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$45,472結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,472結束日期
2026-07-13市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThe closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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