Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日休斯敦的最高溫度?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
$23,022 交易量
$23,022 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
$23,022 交易量
$23,022 交易量
華氏73度或以下
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
華氏92度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model runs highlight increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms expected over Houston on July 14, driven by a moist southerly flow and weak frontal boundary. These conditions limit surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping highs near the low-to-mid 80s rather than the July climatological average of 93–94°F. Trader consensus clustering on the 80–83°F brackets reflects this consensus across guidance, with lower-probability warmer outcomes requiring rapid clearing and stronger subsidence that current ensemble spreads do not strongly support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions