Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日上海最高溫度？
7月14日上海最高溫度？
36°C 54.4%
37°C 29.8%
35°C 14%
38°C 6.7%
最新
$45,267 交易量
最新
$45,267 交易量
2026-07-14
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
14%
36°C
54%
37°C
30%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 54.4%
37°C 29.8%
35°C 14%
38°C 6.7%
最新
$45,267 交易量
最新
$45,267 交易量
2026-07-14
29°C or below
$240 交易量
<1%
30°C
$274 交易量
<1%
31°C
$653 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,386 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,080 交易量
<1%
34°C
$8,320 交易量
<1%
35°C
$5,399 交易量
14%
36°C
$5,244 交易量
54%
37°C
$5,099 交易量
30%
38°C
$3,952 交易量
7%
39°C or higher
$8,793 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$45,267結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,267結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent forecast models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on July 14 likely reaching 35–36°C, aligning with trader consensus on those bins amid typical mid-July subtropical conditions. High solar radiation under the Western Pacific subtropical high, combined with elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect, supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 31–33°C seasonal average. Afternoon convection or isolated thunderstorms could cap readings near 35°C, while clearer skies would favor the upper end. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from variable steering flows and moisture, with official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions