Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月15日上海最高溫度？
7月15日上海最高溫度？
37°C 35%
38°C 30%
36°C 18%
39°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
18%
37°C
35%
38°C
30%
39°C
11%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 35%
38°C 30%
36°C 18%
39°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
32°C or below
$232 交易量
<1%
33°C
$193 交易量
1%
34°C
$739 交易量
1%
35°C
$429 交易量
6%
36°C
$659 交易量
18%
37°C
$556 交易量
35%
38°C
$489 交易量
30%
39°C
$470 交易量
11%
40°C
$452 交易量
1%
41°C
$552 交易量
1%
42°C or higher
$565 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,331結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,331結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to Shanghai highs of 36–38°C on July 15 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies and southerly flow, sustaining the current early-July heat pattern. Minor probability spreads among these outcomes reflect small uncertainties in afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized sea-breeze effects that could shave or add 1°C. Historical mid-July climatology shows typical maxima near 33°C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge’s position; updated 48-hour runs and official bulletins will refine whether peak readings reach the upper or lower edge of that narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions