Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月15日邁阿密的最低溫度?
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 14%
71°F或以下
8%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或更高
1%
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 14%
71°F或以下
8%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions