Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日上海最低溫度？
7月17日上海最低溫度？
29°C 40%
28°C 35%
32°C 14%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
24°C或以下
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
12%
28°C
35%
29°C
40%
30°C
12%
31°C
9%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C或以上
5%
29°C 40%
28°C 35%
32°C 14%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
24°C或以下
$31 交易量
5%
25°C
$20 交易量
4%
26°C
$11 交易量
7%
27°C
$11 交易量
12%
28°C
$28 交易量
35%
29°C
$37 交易量
40%
30°C
$13 交易量
12%
31°C
$13 交易量
9%
32°C
$32 交易量
14%
33°C
$32 交易量
9%
34°C或以上
$124 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$353結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$353結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETShanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions