Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月15日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
7月15日吉隆坡的最高溫度？
33°C 43%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
31%
33°C
43%
34°C
20%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
26°C或以下
$221 交易量
<1%
27°C
$221 交易量
<1%
28°C
$221 交易量
<1%
29°C
$513 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,455 交易量
1%
31°C
$227 交易量
4%
32°C
$406 交易量
31%
33°C
$1,760 交易量
43%
34°C
$357 交易量
20%
35°C
$3,563 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$259 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$9,189結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,189結束日期
2026-07-15市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions