Trader consensus around 33°C (37.5% implied probability) for Kuala Lumpur’s July 14 maximum reflects the city’s typical July climatology under Southwest Monsoon conditions, where official records and models from MetMalaysia and global ensembles show daily highs clustered between 31–34°C. Recent short-range forecasts indicate stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and no significant tropical disturbance or heatwave intrusion expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly centered near the 32–33°C modal range observed in prior July days. Historical baselines from equatorial Malaysia further support this narrow band, with occasional 34–35°C outliers possible only under enhanced solar heating or reduced rainfall, while lower outcomes below 31°C remain unlikely absent unusual cooling from persistent showers. Updated model runs and official daily maximum observations through July 12 continue to reinforce trader positioning ahead of the July 14 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日吉隆坡的最高溫度?
33°C 41%
32°C 38%
34°C 13%
31°C 4.6%
$10,711 交易量
$10,711 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
38%
33°C
41%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 38%
34°C 13%
31°C 4.6%
$10,711 交易量
$10,711 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
38%
33°C
41%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 33°C (37.5% implied probability) for Kuala Lumpur’s July 14 maximum reflects the city’s typical July climatology under Southwest Monsoon conditions, where official records and models from MetMalaysia and global ensembles show daily highs clustered between 31–34°C. Recent short-range forecasts indicate stable atmospheric patterns with moderate humidity, limited cloud cover, and no significant tropical disturbance or heatwave intrusion expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly centered near the 32–33°C modal range observed in prior July days. Historical baselines from equatorial Malaysia further support this narrow band, with occasional 34–35°C outliers possible only under enhanced solar heating or reduced rainfall, while lower outcomes below 31°C remain unlikely absent unusual cooling from persistent showers. Updated model runs and official daily maximum observations through July 12 continue to reinforce trader positioning ahead of the July 14 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions