Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月19日東京最低氣溫？
7月19日東京最低氣溫？
26°C 40%
25°C 36%
22°C 35%
24°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
35%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
36%
26°C
40%
27°C
34%
28°C
35%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C或以上
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 36%
22°C 35%
24°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-07-19
21°C或以下
$15 交易量
1%
22°C
$2 交易量
35%
23°C
$2 交易量
34%
24°C
$0 交易量
35%
25°C
$0 交易量
36%
26°C
$2 交易量
40%
27°C
$0 交易量
34%
28°C
$0 交易量
35%
29°C
$15 交易量
8%
30°C
$65 交易量
4%
31°C或以上
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$116結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$116結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions