Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日東京的最低溫度？
7月21日東京的最低溫度？
27°C 56%
28°C 39%
26°C 5%
29°C 3.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
56%
28°C
39%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 56%
28°C 39%
26°C 5%
29°C 3.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
22°C或以下
$85 交易量
<1%
23°C
$164 交易量
<1%
24°C
$40 交易量
1%
25°C
$27 交易量
2%
26°C
$52 交易量
5%
27°C
$89 交易量
56%
28°C
$737 交易量
39%
29°C
$74 交易量
4%
30°C
$366 交易量
<1%
31°C
$245 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$149 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,027結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,027結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions