Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日首爾最低溫度？
7月21日首爾最低溫度？
23°C 35%
24°C 32%
25°C 21%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
35%
24°C
32%
25°C
21%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 35%
24°C 32%
25°C 21%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
19°C或以下
$383 交易量
1%
20°C
$143 交易量
4%
21°C
$126 交易量
5%
22°C
$73 交易量
10%
23°C
$17 交易量
35%
24°C
$1,774 交易量
32%
25°C
$0 交易量
21%
26°C
$131 交易量
5%
27°C
$211 交易量
4%
28°C
$379 交易量
4%
29°C或以上
$536 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,773結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,773結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders are focusing on short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Seoul’s overnight minimum on July 21, where tight clustering around 21–25°C reflects modest spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical July high-humidity conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure favors gradual overnight radiative cooling, yet variable low-level cloud cover and weak frontal passages introduce uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show slight cooling signals that keep sub-20°C readings possible if skies clear more than expected, while stronger mixing could push values above 26°C. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions