Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日巴黎最低溫度？
7月21日巴黎最低溫度？
13°C 32%
12°C 27%
14°C 24%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
10°C或以下
4%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
32%
14°C
24%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
13°C 32%
12°C 27%
14°C 24%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
10°C或以下
$6 交易量
4%
11°C
$67 交易量
9%
12°C
$6 交易量
27%
13°C
$347 交易量
32%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
9%
16°C
$43 交易量
1%
17°C
$37 交易量
1%
18°C
$167 交易量
<1%
19°C
$167 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$137 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$977結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$977結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a possible influx of cooler maritime air over northern France in the next 48 hours, driven by a weakening high-pressure system and an approaching trough, which could suppress daytime highs and lower nighttime minimums in Paris. Ensemble spreads remain wide for July 21, with guidance showing overnight lows potentially dipping to 10–14 °C under clear, radiational cooling conditions versus 15–17 °C if cloud cover or a warmer southerly flow persists. These small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and exact frontal timing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the lower-to-mid teens, reflecting traders’ assessment of model consensus versus historical July variability for the Île-de-France region. Updated model runs expected in the coming hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the lowest temperature reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions