Marine layer moderation and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping trader expectations for Los Angeles International Airport observations on July 20, favoring the closely matched 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a modest warming trend from mid-July coastal maxima near 74-77°F, yet afternoon sea breezes and low-level stratus are expected to limit peak heating. This aligns with climatological July averages around 81-86°F while explaining lower probabilities for 84°F-plus outcomes. Key variables differentiating the leading ranges include slight differences in forecast boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any marine push, with new model runs and morning soundings likely to refine sentiment before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日洛杉磯的最高溫度?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 42%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 3.1%
$22,033 交易量
$22,033 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 42%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 3.1%
$22,033 交易量
$22,033 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marine layer moderation and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping trader expectations for Los Angeles International Airport observations on July 20, favoring the closely matched 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a modest warming trend from mid-July coastal maxima near 74-77°F, yet afternoon sea breezes and low-level stratus are expected to limit peak heating. This aligns with climatological July averages around 81-86°F while explaining lower probabilities for 84°F-plus outcomes. Key variables differentiating the leading ranges include slight differences in forecast boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any marine push, with new model runs and morning soundings likely to refine sentiment before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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