Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日聖保羅的最高溫度？
7月21日聖保羅的最高溫度？
27°C 45%
28°C 38%
26°C 14%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
45%
28°C
38%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 38%
26°C 14%
29°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-21
22°C or below
$1,503 交易量
<1%
23°C
$466 交易量
<1%
24°C
$327 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,637 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,392 交易量
14%
27°C
$1,282 交易量
45%
28°C
$1,157 交易量
38%
29°C
$685 交易量
6%
30°C
$423 交易量
1%
31°C
$350 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$310 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
交易量
$9,532結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,532結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 9:06 PM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from INMET and ensemble models position 28°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s July 21 high, with traders assigning it 48% implied probability amid stable winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs indicate a ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate northerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near the climatological upper range of 27–29°C rather than cooler anomalies typical of July. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary possibilities at 29.5% and 12%, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to minimal expected variability in steering patterns or moisture advection. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window will determine final resolution against official surface observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions