Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on July 20 points to a daily high near 100–102 °F under typical late-July conditions of high pressure, light winds, and abundant July sunshine. These values align with the historical climatological range for the date, where Dallas-Fort Worth averages roughly 98–101 °F, modulated by the urban heat island effect and soil moisture from recent rainfall. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101 °F bin, while modest upside risk from any westward ridge strengthening keeps the 102–103 °F tier as the next most probable outcome. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution against the KDFW observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
$19,396 交易量
$19,396 交易量
華氏95度或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
$19,396 交易量
$19,396 交易量
華氏95度或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Dallas on July 20 points to a daily high near 100–102 °F under typical late-July conditions of high pressure, light winds, and abundant July sunshine. These values align with the historical climatological range for the date, where Dallas-Fort Worth averages roughly 98–101 °F, modulated by the urban heat island effect and soil moisture from recent rainfall. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101 °F bin, while modest upside risk from any westward ridge strengthening keeps the 102–103 °F tier as the next most probable outcome. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution against the KDFW observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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