Recent forecasts for Beijing on July 20 indicate daytime highs clustered near 29–30°C, shaped by the East Asian summer monsoon and peak rainy season conditions. Multiple models show expected thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover, which limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures moderate despite typical July averages near 32°C. Official guidance highlights 20–46 mm of rainfall potential that day, a key factor suppressing peaks toward the market’s leading 28–30°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration against historical July variability, where isolated clearer periods can briefly push readings 1–2°C higher. Updated forecasts and observational data through July 19 will refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour maximum temperature measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日北京最高溫度?
32°C或以上 28.8%
31°C 23.9%
30°C 21%
29°C 16%
$16,355 交易量
$16,355 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
21%
31°C
24%
32°C或以上
29%
32°C或以上 28.8%
31°C 23.9%
30°C 21%
29°C 16%
$16,355 交易量
$16,355 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C
21%
31°C
24%
32°C或以上
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Beijing on July 20 indicate daytime highs clustered near 29–30°C, shaped by the East Asian summer monsoon and peak rainy season conditions. Multiple models show expected thunderstorms and widespread cloud cover, which limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures moderate despite typical July averages near 32°C. Official guidance highlights 20–46 mm of rainfall potential that day, a key factor suppressing peaks toward the market’s leading 28–30°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration against historical July variability, where isolated clearer periods can briefly push readings 1–2°C higher. Updated forecasts and observational data through July 19 will refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour maximum temperature measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions