Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日上海最高溫度？
7月21日上海最高溫度？
33°C 41%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
35°C 14%
最新
$33,551 交易量
最新
$33,551 交易量
2026-07-21
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
41%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 41%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
35°C 14%
最新
$33,551 交易量
最新
$33,551 交易量
2026-07-21
28°C或以下
$1,256 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,047 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,205 交易量
2%
31°C
$2,877 交易量
5%
32°C
$2,587 交易量
17%
33°C
$16,729 交易量
41%
34°C
$1,190 交易量
28%
35°C
$3,161 交易量
14%
36°C
$768 交易量
1%
37°C
$889 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$854 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$33,551結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,551結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shanghai show peak temperatures clustering around 32–34°C on July 21 amid typical mid-summer subtropical high pressure and high humidity. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small differences in afternoon cloud cover, localized thunderstorm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. The slight edge for 33°C reflects the most recent ensemble runs favoring modest insolation under the western Pacific subtropical ridge, while equal weighting of 32°C and 34°C captures residual spread from urban heat-island amplification versus possible seabreeze cooling or brief showers. Updated NMC and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions