Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating Atlantic airflow will keep London's July 20 maximum near 24–26°C after earlier July heatwaves peaked above 30°C. Key differentiators among these closely matched outcomes include the precise timing of any residual high-pressure ridge, urban heat island amplification in central London, and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that models currently resolve within a narrow 2°C envelope. With resolution hinging on verified observations at official stations, traders are weighting the most recent deterministic guidance against historical July variability around the 22–27°C climatological range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日倫敦的最高溫度?
24°C 37%
25°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 12%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
12%
24°C
31%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
24°C 37%
25°C 35%
26°C 18%
23°C 12%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
12%
24°C
31%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating Atlantic airflow will keep London's July 20 maximum near 24–26°C after earlier July heatwaves peaked above 30°C. Key differentiators among these closely matched outcomes include the precise timing of any residual high-pressure ridge, urban heat island amplification in central London, and minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed that models currently resolve within a narrow 2°C envelope. With resolution hinging on verified observations at official stations, traders are weighting the most recent deterministic guidance against historical July variability around the 22–27°C climatological range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions