Coastal Qingdao’s marine boundary layer and East Asian monsoon flow keep daytime maxima tightly clustered near 29–31 °C in late July, with the current 2–3 °C spread reflecting small differences in model timing of cloud cover, sea-breeze onset, and any weak frontal moisture. Recent National Climate Center guidance notes above-average typhoon formation and an emerging El Niño pattern that favors slightly warmer, more humid air masses over the Yellow Sea, yet local forecasts still show frequent stratiform cloud and light rain that cap insolation. Ensemble spread in 48-hour runs therefore centers on whether peak solar heating occurs under brief clear slots or is suppressed by lingering marine stratus, producing the closely matched market probabilities around 29–31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日青島氣溫最高?
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 17%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C或更高
1%
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 17%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
17%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Coastal Qingdao’s marine boundary layer and East Asian monsoon flow keep daytime maxima tightly clustered near 29–31 °C in late July, with the current 2–3 °C spread reflecting small differences in model timing of cloud cover, sea-breeze onset, and any weak frontal moisture. Recent National Climate Center guidance notes above-average typhoon formation and an emerging El Niño pattern that favors slightly warmer, more humid air masses over the Yellow Sea, yet local forecasts still show frequent stratiform cloud and light rain that cap insolation. Ensemble spread in 48-hour runs therefore centers on whether peak solar heating occurs under brief clear slots or is suppressed by lingering marine stratus, producing the closely matched market probabilities around 29–31 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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