Forecast models from Environment Canada and private sources currently converge on a Toronto high near 26–27 °C for July 20, driving the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. Key variables include daytime cloud cover that could limit solar heating, boundary-layer moisture influencing the strength of any lake breeze off Lake Ontario, and minor model spread in 850-hPa temperatures. Historical July averages hover near 26 °C, so modest deviations from guidance—such as clearer skies or stronger southerly flow—could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way. Updated model runs and official forecasts issued overnight will provide the next clear signals for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日多倫多氣溫最高?
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
24°C或以下 6%
$15,520 交易量
$15,520 交易量
24°C或以下
6%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
24°C或以下 6%
$15,520 交易量
$15,520 交易量
24°C或以下
6%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Environment Canada and private sources currently converge on a Toronto high near 26–27 °C for July 20, driving the market’s leading probabilities for those outcomes. Key variables include daytime cloud cover that could limit solar heating, boundary-layer moisture influencing the strength of any lake breeze off Lake Ontario, and minor model spread in 850-hPa temperatures. Historical July averages hover near 26 °C, so modest deviations from guidance—such as clearer skies or stronger southerly flow—could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way. Updated model runs and official forecasts issued overnight will provide the next clear signals for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions