Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
7月21日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
12°C 48%
13°C 44%
11°C 6.7%
14°C 5.2%
最新
$10,139 交易量
最新
$10,139 交易量
2026-07-21
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
48%
13°C
44%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 44%
11°C 6.7%
14°C 5.2%
最新
$10,139 交易量
最新
$10,139 交易量
2026-07-21
7°C or below
$175 交易量
<1%
8°C
$375 交易量
<1%
9°C
$509 交易量
1%
10°C
$712 交易量
1%
11°C
$782 交易量
7%
12°C
$1,456 交易量
48%
13°C
$1,900 交易量
44%
14°C
$2,767 交易量
5%
15°C
$600 交易量
1%
16°C
$419 交易量
<1%
17°C或以上
$459 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,139結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,139結束日期
2026-07-21市場開放時間
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETWellington's mid-winter temperature on July 21 will hinge on the strength of northerly flow versus any southerly change, with current official forecasts from MetService and others pointing to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies. These outcomes sit close in the market because ensemble guidance shows modest warm advection and limited cloud cover, keeping highs near the July climatological average of 11–13 °C rather than allowing stronger cooling. A stronger southerly shift or increased marine layer would favor the 12 °C bin, while clearer, milder conditions could edge toward 13 °C or briefly 14 °C; updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 48 hours will tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions