Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models highlights persistent cloud cover and monsoon-driven rainfall as the dominant influence on Seoul's July 23 minimum temperature, supporting elevated trader odds for 20°C or below. Enhanced moisture transport and light winds favor greater nocturnal cooling than typical midsummer baselines of 22–25°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Upcoming model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月23日首爾最低溫度?
24°C 39%
25°C 26%
23°C 24%
26°C 12%
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
12%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C或以上
1%
24°C 39%
25°C 26%
23°C 24%
26°C 12%
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
26%
26°C
12%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models highlights persistent cloud cover and monsoon-driven rainfall as the dominant influence on Seoul's July 23 minimum temperature, supporting elevated trader odds for 20°C or below. Enhanced moisture transport and light winds favor greater nocturnal cooling than typical midsummer baselines of 22–25°C, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Upcoming model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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